Our deep expertise in macroeconomics and geopolitics enable our investment strategists to dynamically spot both strategic and tactical asset allocation opportunities. By combining our deep macro understanding with rigorous market analysis and asset class research, we provide clients with high-conviction views on the best course of action to take to capitalise on opportunities and avoid risks.
Our multi asset research supports our clients' internal asset allocation processes with absolute calls and relative positioning in a model portfolio with a 3–6-month investment horizon, updated each month.
Our Services
Our Investment strategy research expertise underpins all of our three research services: Global Macro, China and Global Emerging Markets and Global Strategy.
Our Track Record
We take great pride in our 30 year track record of independent investment strategy research, and we believe that our past research and investment strategy calls speak for themselves.
Using an integrated asset allocation approach, we construct the optimal asset allocation framework to provide our clients with strategic asset allocation advice. The following analysts contribute to our asset allocation framework:
Our Investment Strategy Team
Andrea Cicione
Jon Harrison
Andrew Lawrence
Martin Shenfield
Time to pivot towards EM
Amid the escalation of market volatility linked to Ukraine and ultra-hawkish rhetoric on future Fed rate hikes, some readers may find it odd that we are recommending EM at this time.
READ MECredit cycle moving to slowdown phase
We keep our overall equity allocation unchanged but rotate from DM to EM. We cut IG and HY credit as well as EM Debt, going to an overall fixed income u/w of 16%.
READ MEPeak hawkishness?
For the past couple of months, our CyclQEST framework has been signalling that the US credit cycle has moved into the Downturn stage (i.e., credit conditions easier than the cyclical average but tightening).
READ METhe Fed, Omicron and the great yield rotation
We keep a pro-risk stance owing to a constructive macro outlook and the news of tighter monetary policy compensated by positive Covid developments.
READ MEOur macroeconomic analysis provides that foundation for our global investment strategy research. Our macro expertise gives us a unique perspective that allows us to present courageous, fresh, long-term thinking with high conviction.
Politics and government policy are increasingly significant global investment strategy drivers, and our world-wide team of geopolitical analysts are able to provide critical, timely insights into political shocks and policy developments that will influence investment performance - both regionally and globally.