Market carnage set as pincer of growth scare and Fed hawkishness crushes assets

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A coherent global view from diverse thought leaders. We take an eclectic approach to arrive at a coherent global view. Our strong, independent thinkers scan the horizon in different ways to identify and explore possible inflection points and emergent themes. One of our key themes is Decarbonomics - The economics and policy of reducing reliance on greenhouse gas (carbon) emissions in energy production, manufacturing, transportation and other sectors of the economy and the drive for green energy and net-zero emissions. Deep country knowledge and historical perspective are core to our process. Our thought leaders, global economists and country specialists come together to choose the right tools with which to explore the implications for individual countries and financial markets. The key to our approach is that we are led by the theme, not the tool. Request a trial to see our approach in action.


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Our Global Macro Research Service combines our broad global macro thematic analysis—horizon scanning to identify and explore emerging themes and their impact on countries and markets—with our deep economic and political insights into the major world economies and markets: the U.S., Europe and Asia (focus on China). Political insights are key to our research  process, and our global political drivers underpin our Global Macro Research Service.

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Our Macro Research

13 Apr 2022 - Steven Blitz

US CPI - Where to from here is what matters, not the "peak"

March CPI data give comfort that goods price inflation may have begun to reverse – but where inflation ends up is more critical than whether this is the peak. The demand impact from higher commodity prices, specifically energy, slows the economy in Q2, and inflation as well. READ ME
08 Apr 2022 - Rory Green

Fact-checking China - In 6 charts

China growth figures are notoriously susceptible to manipulation. After having become more reliable in the past couple of years, 2022 could mark a return to the bad old days. With micro data already diverging from macro, an ambitious official growth target and even the National Bureau of Statistics questioning Jan-Feb data, we revisit alternative signals of China activity.

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11 Apr 2022 - Dario Perkins

Can central banks "opt out" of this inflation episode?

Central banks must choose how to respond to inflation hitting 30-year highs. Germany was the only country to "opt out" of the 1970s Great Inflation. But it would be a mistake to use currency strength as a monetary shield.

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04 Apr 2022 - Freya Beamish

Eurasia recession and compressed US real yields

Our 2022 EA forecast is not significantly different from recession. China is likely to be in recession (with Chinese characteristics). US H1 growth scare remains a threat, but almost more worrying would be if the US were to remain strong 

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