2012: Chinese growth and liquidity sweet spot > long stocks short-term

We said:

Improving liquidity and a trough in PMIs leads us to go long Chinese stocks. We recommend a long position in the Singapore-listed FTSE China A50 index futures balanced by a short in a CAC/DAX futures basket. CAC will struggle as concerns rise over French debt, it is nearly certain that they will miss their budget deficit targets. DAX is trading near the top of its range with Industrials and Metals vulnerable to slower Chinese demand. The effect would neutralize the China growth variable while playing improvement in Chinese liquidity conditions. Long FTSE China A50/short DAX & CAC futures.

Outcome:

9% returned between 12 Oct 2012 and 28 Jan 2013.

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