2012: Markets drunk on liquidity: relative value sector call is best bet

We said:

Scope for upside EPS surprise in US Utilities. The consensus expects no gain in Utilities’ EPS over the next twelve months, the weakest among US sectors. So the sector stands to benefit from either excessively low expectations or the bad weather this winter. By contrast Telecoms earnings expectations leave the sector open to disappointment as growth slows and reinforce the expensive feel of the sector. Long US utiities.short US Telecoms.

Outcome:

4.7% returned between 26 Sept 2012 and 5 Nov 2012.

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