2012: Short AUD the best way to play China's slowdown

We said:

AUD still overvalued against its terms of trade, these will suffer as markets and companies recognise the Chinese slowdown. Also, no upward pressure on CNY means less intervention to sell CNY, fewer USTs bought and less need to diversify into AUD and other currencies. Mexico is not directly exposed to China’s slowdown and Mexican business will benefit from yuan appreciation in real efficient terms. Sell AUD/MXN. 

Outcome:

2.6% returned between 29 Aug 2012 and 25 Sept 2012.

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