2015: Gilt yields and GBP are capped

We said:

Gilt yields and sterling have backed up sharply in recent days with markets seeing signs of diminishing dovishness in Bank of England's language. We think both markets and the Bank will be surprised by further (core) disinflation. Gilts are still a buy for us, while GBP is a sell after a brief correction. We initiate a long Gilt/short Bund trade. (LSR Macro Strategy 18th February 2015)

Outcome:

Gilt trades added 40bps performance through 2015.

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