2010: Chinese growth set for a sharp correction

Consensus said:

China set for a ‘soft landing’

We said:

At some point over the next four quarters China’s expansion is highly likely to be cut short, restrained by its cyclical barriers amid a sizable relapse of global growth. The longer the economy continues to boom and inflation is left unchecked, the worse the necessary growth correction is set to be. (LSR View 19th July 2010)

Outcome:

Chinese domestic demand slowed sharply in H1 2011 under the impact of monetary tightening and administrative policy measures from late 2010 onwards

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