"I think there is going to be this 'staircase movement' in the yuan, letting it fall 3% to 5% within the next two months and then keep it stable for about six months before making the next depreciation move," says TS Lombard's chief China economist Bo Zhuang. "They do this in order to stabilize market expectations. People in China know what's coming. I would say that if China doesn’t get a deal with the U.S., you will see this kind of movement in the currency: weak, long stability, then weak again," he says, forecasting the yuan to hit 7.5 to the dollar within the next 18 months. The yuan is currently trading at 7.04 to the dollar.
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