It is Rational to Be Irrational

  •  2018 is likely to see the beginning of the equity market melt-up 
  •  During the late stages of a rally, expensive stocks get more expensive 
  •  Also, high-beta equities tend to outperform low-beta 
  •  Rational to be irrational: dumb beta likely to beat smart alpha, again 
  •  We go 16% overweight on stocks after US, China upgrade to +2 
  •  We continue to see upside to yields; we cut IG, HY, EM debt by 6%  
  •  Euro on the front foot: growth and positioning warrant upgrade to +2 
  •  Dollar likely to stay on the back foot: we raise GBP and AUD to 0 from -1 

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We have a 29 year track record of successful calls. Many of these calls combined economic, political and market analysis.

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