Chaotic election but clear market reactions to come

Amid a once-in-a-century pandemic, with new Covid cases surging to a third US peak, the Biden campaign has entered the final stretch of the presidential election with tailwinds at its back and a war chest flush with cash. With less than two weeks to go, polls point to a Biden win, but the ghosts of 2016 polling errors haunt those predicting this year’s outcome – handicapping what looks on paper like a high chance of a Biden victory.

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