Strategy Chartbook: July 2019

  • Macro Drivers. Trade activity remains subdued, but there are some green shoots in China
  • Multi Asset. Credit cycle still in the ‘slowdown’ stage – but there are signs it may be bottoming out
  • Fixed Income. Market-based and survey-based measures of inflation are collapsing
  • Currencies. Trump has stepped up currency-war rhetoric, but that does not mean USD will fall
  • Equities. ‘Insurance cuts’ by the Fed should support equity valuations, stocks still under-owned
  • Commodities. Gold performs strongly after USD and UST 2y peaks, VIX troughs

Economics

Politics

05 Apr 2019

Russia: Labour fix

Markets

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We have a 30 year track record of successful calls. Many of these calls combined economic, political and market analysis.

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