Strategy Chartbook: March 2019

  • Macro Drivers. Central bank easing has boosted Chinese activity, but global growth still slowing
  • Multi Asset. The UST yield-stock price divergence makes perfect sense, but can it last?
  • Fixed Income. US yield curve indicating recession risk, but Fed eases Treasury funding needs
  • Currencies. Lack of yield support for USD/JPY; TRY weakness always a risk given external position
  • Equities. Despite weak data, bullish EM investors keep pouring into China, particularly Cyclicals
  • Commodities. China new business supporting copper for now, but size of stimulus will disappoint

Economics

Politics

Markets

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We have a 29 year track record of successful calls. Many of these calls combined economic, political and market analysis.

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