EM Monthly Strategy: Russia is our top pick to ride out the markets current lack of direction

  • Risk: We maintain our neutral call on EM risk as we think the positive impact of Fed easing is more or less offset by slowing global growth and deflation.
  • Russia: We raise our call to strong positive as we believe the sanctions risk has eased while domestic economic fundamentals remain very strong.
  • India: PM Modi has successfully used the theme of national security to bolster the BJP’s election prospects. We raise our call on equities to positive.
  • Turkey: Erdogan is promising economic reforms but many foreign investors still want to exit Turkey; we raise our call on equities to strong negative.

Economics

Politics

05 Apr 2019

Russia: Labour fix

Markets

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We have a 30 year track record of successful calls. Many of these calls combined economic, political and market analysis.

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