Global Political Drivers: Peak Brexit panic timelines

  • The UK will not ‘crash out’ of the EU next March despite much turbulence in the meantime
  • This outlook points to attractive event trading opportunities in sterling and gilts
  • On the timing-is-everything principle, we scrutinize the key event calendar
  • Volatility will surge in the run-up to two main winter milestones, followed by relief rallies
  • The same goes for the full-blown UK political crisis scenario
  • We recommend expressing these views through the EUR/GBP cross, with prompt profit taking

Economics

Politics

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We have a 29 year track record of successful calls. Many of these calls combined economic, political and market analysis.

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