Asset Allocation: Unsynchronised growth

  • Global growth has become less synchronised, with EA and China slowing
  • But, with the US still going strong, the end of the global cycle is not imminent
  • Cheaper valuations in all asset classes fairly reflect heightened risks
  • DM equities still the better choice; EMs under pressure from higher USD, yields
  • 10y yields roiled by QT, but breakout scope limited by short positioning
  • Risks rising for credit but too early to be short – we stay close to benchmark
  • Dollar strength likely to be transient – we remain bullish EUR

Economics

Politics

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We have a 29 year track record of successful calls. Many of these calls combined economic, political and market analysis.

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